DIWAN

Studies & Intelligence

Intelligence with context. Foresight that shapes decisions. The DIWAN register publishes commissioned studies, briefings, and market intelligence across sectors and jurisdictions.

Briefings room Membership

StreamsAll Trade & Capital 79 Law & Regulation 46 Country Files 196 Demand & Buyers 45 Platforms & Growth 180 Brand & Positioning 4 Commodities 23 Business 69 Technology 188 Cyber Security 4

GeographyAll

United Arab Emirates 49

Antigua and Barbuda 1

Bosnia and Herzegovina 1

Brazil 1

British Virgin Islands 1

Central African Republic 1

Northern Mariana Islands 1

Syrian Arab Republic 1

Trinidad and Tobago 1

Tunisia 1

Turkey 1

Turkmenistan 1

Turks and Caicos Islands 1

Commodities

3 of 223 items

Photo · Unsplash

RNK-DIWAN-144Feasibility

FORFAIT · 04 SEPT 2026

GCC Energy Commodities: The Bunker Line

Where ships refuel when the Gulf is a war zone — Fujairah's inversion, Oman's outside-the-strait option, and the clean-fuel race that did not pause

The Bunkering Edition of the GCC energy-commodities series. The Rerouted Barrel mapped where the oil went; this study maps where the ships now refuel. In the 30-day window Fujairah — the world's third bunkering hub before the war — completed a structural inversion: bunker sales at roughly a third of pre-war levels even after July's rebound, while fuel-oil inventories drew down 29% and the port flipped to a net fuel-oil EXPORTER at 306,000 b/d. Premium structure is the new geography: Fujairah VLSFO carried a $302/mt premium over Rotterdam in June and still holds a $28/mt premium over Singapore in September. Oman's outside-the-strait ports hold the locational option — but Sohar, Duqm and Salalah have all taken Iranian strikes, and the clean-bunkering land-grab (SalalaH2, HIF-Acciona e-methanol) kept moving through the war. Evidence-based, fully cited; not investment, legal or chartering advice.

−63.8%FUJAIRAH BUNKER SALES, JULY 2026 VS JULY 2025 (AFTER A +167% JULY REBOUND)

306,000 b/dFUJAIRAH FUEL-OIL EXPORTS, AUGUST 2026 — THE NET-EXPORTER FLIP

$302/mtFUJAIRAH VLSFO PREMIUM OVER ROTTERDAM, 30 JUNE 2026

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16 min$149Read →

Photo · Hush Naidoo Jade Photography / Unsplash

CMD-DIWAN-009Feasibility

FORFAIT · 30 JUL 2026

The GCC Healthcare Gold Rush: Private Capital, Mandatory Insurance and the Provider Gap

Six-system benchmark, four mandate engines, a 2030 bed-gap model and a capital playbook for the most oversubscribed sector in the Gulf

Every GCC state has now switched on, or is arming, a mandatory health-insurance engine — Abu Dhabi (2006), Dubai (2014), the Northern Emirates (2025), Kuwait (2025), Oman (phasing), Saudi Arabia (13.2m private lives and doubling premiums to 2030) — while the region operates 1.3–2.3 hospital beds per 1,000 people against Germany's 7.8 and the OECD's 4.3. This study benchmarks the four buyer markets against Germany and Singapore, sizes the provider gap to 2030 (Saudi estimates alone range 8,500–27,000 beds), maps the private-capital wave (PureHealth's $3.5bn of European acquisitions, the $1bn Aster GCC buyout, three Saudi IPOs 64–119× oversubscribed), prices greenfield-versus-acquisition entry, and stress-tests the one risk the gold-rush narrative underweights: reimbursement.

US$159bnGCC HEALTH SPEND BY 2029 (ALPEN CAPITAL, 7.8% CAGR)

8,500–27,000RANGE OF ESTIMATES FOR EXTRA SAUDI BEDS NEEDED BY ~2030

119×INSTITUTIONAL OVERSUBSCRIPTION, FAKEEH CARE IPO (2024)

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19 min$149Read →

Photo · Kurt z / Unsplash

EXT-GULF-COMMODITY-01Feasibility

DIWAN · 15 JUL 2026

The Paper Trade: Digitising Physical-Commodity Flows Through the Gulf

Electronic bills of lading, the MLETR statute race and whether Dubai can take documentation share from Geneva, Singapore and London

Gulf economies already route $1.6tn of merchandise trade, yet the documents that carry title, credit and jurisdiction still clear through incumbent hubs and English law. This study benchmarks Dubai against Geneva, Singapore and London on legal enablement, firm concentration and registry depth. It finds the window to capture documentation share open until roughly 2030 — contingent on one missing federal statute rather than on technology.

$1.6tnGCC MERCHANDISE FOREIGN TRADE IN 2024, THE REGIONAL PRIZE WHOSE DOCUMENTATION IS CONTESTABLE (SOURCE: GCC-STAT)

$2.5tnGLOBAL TRADE-FINANCE GAP AS OF THE LATEST SURVEY YEAR, UP FROM $1.7TN IN 2020 (SOURCE: ADB GLOBAL TRADE FINANCE GAP SURVEY, DECEMBER 2025)

26,000+DMCC MEMBER COMPANIES AT END-2025 AFTER 2,300 ADDITIONS IN THE YEAR, WITH TECHNOLOGY OVERTAKING COMMODITIES AS THE LARGEST SECTOR (SOURCE: DMCC 2025 RESULTS)

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17 min$149Read →

Studies & Intelligence

Commodities

GCC Energy Commodities: The Bunker Line

The GCC Healthcare Gold Rush: Private Capital, Mandatory Insurance and the Provider Gap

The Paper Trade: Digitising Physical-Commodity Flows Through the Gulf

Highlights

The Bahamas: Economic Outlook 2026

Estonia: Economic and Social Projections for 2026

Bulgaria: Economic and Social Projections for 2026

Monthly dossiers